Working proposal · estimates you can challenge
The plan behind
the proposal.
Trace both plans through their operating costs, regional budgets and cash requirements.
This plan is not funded or agreed. It assumes new loan terms that lenders have not committed to. The starting cash figures for 2026 still need checking. A yearly surplus does not mean there will be enough cash every month.
Essential support · Central estimate · Built from the services needed · Change assumptions shown
- 2027Baseline & reform
- 2028Transition
- 2029Structural choice
- 2030Delivery
- 2031Resilience
Yearly estimates unless stated otherwise. £m means millions of pounds. Support includes cash and shared services.
What do the main figures mean?
WRU support needed per region: Yearly cash and shared services needed by each region. This is not all paid as a cash grant.
Yearly support WRU could afford per region: The model’s yearly limit after normal bills and debt payments. It does not cover one-off costs or cash shortages during the year, and depends on the assumptions being met.
Extra yearly funding needed: The gap between the support needed and what WRU could afford, across all regions in that plan. Zero here does not mean there are no cash shortages.
WRU cash gained or used this year: Money coming in minus money going out, including one-off costs and debt payments. Positive means cash gained; negative means cash used. This is a change, not the bank balance.
Extra cash needed in the first 3 years: The largest cash shortfall in the first 36 months, including the safety buffer kept for bills. It is not the sum of three yearly gaps, and no lender has committed this money.
The numbers, year by year
Cash, debt and financial statements
WRU is our reconstruction of the published three-licence structure, not the WRU’s own unpublished budget. Both structures retain four professional teams through FY2028; three in the contraction case from FY2029. Common reforms are available to both.
WRU’s plan — our cost estimates
Extra cash needed in the first 3 years, including a safety buffer: £16.59m. This is money the model says is needed, not money a lender has agreed to provide.
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRU support needed per region | £6.70m | £6.92m | £7.15m | £7.38m | £7.61m |
| Yearly support WRU could afford per region | £5.60m | £8.10m | £9.90m | £11.60m | £11.98m |
| Extra yearly funding needed | £4.42m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Funding kept for clubs, SRC and player development | £6.13m | £6.28m | £6.44m | £6.60m | £6.77m |
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income, including extra commercial earnings after costs | £117.84m | £121.60m | £123.94m | £126.85m | £129.83m |
| Cost of running WRU | £67.39m | £60.89m | £62.42m | £63.99m | £65.59m |
| Left after running costs and rugby funding, before interest and tax | £8.71m | £17.91m | £21.50m | £25.98m | £26.47m |
| Interest paid | £3.89m | £3.84m | £3.80m | £3.75m | £3.71m |
| Depreciation | £6.60m | £6.76m | £6.93m | £7.11m | £7.29m |
| Earlier receipts counted as this year’s income | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m |
| WRU’s share of one-off changes | £2.24m | £2.16m | £0.65m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Forecast profit or loss before tax | £-2.52m | £6.64m | £11.62m | £16.62m | £16.97m |
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated cash at the start of the year | £2.81m | £-2.82m | £-0.89m | £4.82m | £14.32m |
| Cash left after regular bills and debt payments | £-3.38m | £4.09m | £6.35m | £9.50m | £9.82m |
| Cash gained or used this year | £-5.62m | £1.93m | £5.71m | £9.50m | £9.82m |
| Year-end cash or shortfall, before new funding | £-2.82m | £-0.89m | £4.82m | £14.32m | £24.14m |
| Lowest cash figure during the year | £-9.16m | £-12.49m | £-9.43m | £-2.84m | £6.50m |
| Minimum cash safety buffer | £4.00m | £4.10m | £4.20m | £4.31m | £4.42m |
| Repairing and replacing buildings and equipment | £4.30m | £4.41m | £4.52m | £4.63m | £4.75m |
| Loans due in full that need cash repayment | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Loans assumed to be renewed — not agreed | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £35.70m | £0.00m |
| Closing bank debt | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m |
| Closing lease obligations | £41.00m | £39.70m | £38.40m | £37.10m | £35.80m |
| Closing debentures | £44.60m | £42.50m | £40.40m | £38.30m | £36.20m |
Detailed WRU Group accounts forecast
Consolidated WRU Group including Cardiff, not all four regions or the legal-parent cash pool. A negative signed cash position is an unmet funding requirement, not an authorised overdraft. Book equity and balanced formulas are not proof of solvency.
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income, including extra commercial earnings after costs | 117.00 | 121.34 | 125.18 | 127.61 | 130.62 | 133.69 |
| Operating costs and external allocations | 112.29 | 111.43 | 106.04 | 104.85 | 103.34 | 105.90 |
| Operating contribution | 4.71 | 9.91 | 19.14 | 22.76 | 27.27 | 27.79 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.76 | 6.93 | 7.11 | 7.29 |
| Deferred grant release | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Interest expense | 4.40 | 3.89 | 3.84 | 3.80 | 3.75 | 3.71 |
| Interest received | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Exceptional costs | 0.00 | 2.24 | 2.16 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Loan impairment | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Profit before tax | -4.79 | -1.32 | 7.87 | 12.88 | 17.91 | 18.30 |
| Tax | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.97 | 3.22 | 4.48 | 4.57 |
| Net result | -4.79 | -1.32 | 5.90 | 9.66 | 13.43 | 13.72 |
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting cash or unfunded shortfall | 3.90 | 3.81 | -1.02 | 1.42 | 7.66 | 17.70 |
| Operating cash flow | 3.71 | 7.17 | 14.50 | 18.37 | 22.26 | 22.66 |
| Investing cash flow | 4.15 | -4.45 | -4.56 | -4.68 | -4.79 | -4.91 |
| Financing cash flow | -7.95 | -7.54 | -7.50 | -7.46 | -7.42 | -7.32 |
| Net movement | -0.09 | -4.82 | 2.44 | 6.23 | 10.04 | 10.43 |
| Ending cash or unfunded shortfall | 3.81 | -1.02 | 1.42 | 7.66 | 17.70 | 28.13 |
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangible assets | 146.35 | 144.50 | 142.60 | 140.66 | 138.67 | 136.63 |
| Intangible assets | 10.10 | 9.80 | 9.49 | 9.18 | 8.85 | 8.52 |
| Investments | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Stocks | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Debtors after one year | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 |
| Other debtors within one year | 21.90 | 22.40 | 22.91 | 23.44 | 23.98 | 24.53 |
| CVC derivative receivable | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Signed cash requirement — not a negative cash asset | 3.81 | -1.02 | 1.42 | 7.66 | 17.70 | 28.13 |
| Extra cash still to be found | 0.00 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross bank principal | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 |
| Accrued bank interest | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Unamortised bank-fee deduction | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Finance leases | 42.30 | 41.00 | 39.70 | 38.40 | 37.10 | 35.80 |
| Debentures | 46.70 | 44.60 | 42.50 | 40.40 | 38.30 | 36.20 |
| Allocated Cardiff external legacy liability | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Other non-financing creditors | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 |
| Deferred capital grants | 19.40 | 17.90 | 16.40 | 14.90 | 13.40 | 11.90 |
| Total liabilities | 180.65 | 175.50 | 170.34 | 165.18 | 160.01 | 154.90 |
| Aggregate group equity | 22.81 | 21.48 | 27.39 | 37.05 | 50.48 | 64.20 |
| Accounting identity difference | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
Why Group and central cash differ
Group cash includes subsidiary resources not established as distributable. This arithmetic bridge does not establish cash-pooling or minority distribution rights. Values are GBP m.
| Year | Estimated WRU cash or shortfall | WRU Group cash or shortfall | Cumulative difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — |
| 2027 | -2.82 | -1.02 | 1.80 |
| 2028 | -0.89 | 1.42 | 2.31 |
| 2029 | 4.82 | 7.66 | 2.84 |
| 2030 | 14.32 | 17.70 | 3.38 |
| 2031 | 24.14 | 28.13 | 3.99 |
New money still to be found — illustration only
Not approved, not committed and not added to the unfinanced core. This is a hypothetical non-debt cash/equity entry to meet a year-end floor, not the separate monthly reserve requirement.
| Year | New money assumed, not agreed | Total new money assumed so far |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2027 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| 2030 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
| 2031 | 0.00 | 1.02 |
Accounting checks and remaining constraints
Do the accounts add up?: pass
- Executed refinancing draw, fees, maturity, covenant and cash-pooling terms; no reliance on undrawn facility ceilings.
- Monthly actual FY2026 group/parent/subsidiary cash, restricted receipts, receivables, creditors, tax and grant returns.
- A current asset register and full-year Cardiff goodwill amortisation; no asset sale proceeds or impairment savings invented.
- Cardiff external liability counterparty allocation and settlement versus intra-group loans already eliminated.
- Parent/minority equity attribution and distributions; legal-parent solvency cannot be inferred from aggregate Group book equity.
- Unfunded signed cash is an informational requirement, not a lawful negative cash asset or authorised overdraft.
- FY25_OPENING · audited_reported_rounded
Named reported asset lines and total creditors; £36.8m non-financing creditor residual is derived from audited totals, not forward plug.
- BANK_CARRYING · audited_opening_estimated_settlement
£35.7m principal +£0.5m accrued interest −£0.6m fees =£35.6m carrying debt. Default FY26 settlement/write-off is explicit; new fees and accrued movements require ledger.
- CARDIFF_LEGACY · policy_allocation_not_reported
£1.5m allocated within existing other creditors; capped repayments. Sensitise 0/1.5/3m; exclude internal loans.
- FY26_CARDIFF · derived_conditional
The rebuild cash-deficit assumption is decomposed into operating result, capex, principal, interest and working capital. It is not added as a second expense.
- ASSET_REGISTER · estimate
D&A follows main-engine Group proxy, with explicit split and carrying-value caps. Full-year goodwill amortisation, impairment, capex asset lives and renewal adequacy remain open.
- CASH_CONVERSION · policy_assumption
Working capital assigned to ordinary receivables and/or creditors; unchanged opening stocks and long-term debtors are explicit flat assumptions, not proof of recoverability.
- TAX_NCI · estimate_and_disclosure_gap
Same-period tax proxy uses Group profit, not central profit. NCI ownership attribution, tax entities, losses, VAT, deferred tax and distribution rights unresolved; aggregate equity is not parent-distributable reserves.
- UNSPECIFIED_ADJUSTMENTS · explicit_zero_scenario_not_evidenced_absence
Unspecified interest income, new grants, new refinancing fees, minority dividends, external regional loan receipts/conversions/impairments default to zero; sensitivity overrides identify their separate entries.
- CAPITAL_ILLUSTRATION · unsecured_requirement_not_funding
Hypothetical cash/equity entries are outside the unfinanced core. They are not approved finance, a financing commitment, or a solvency conclusion.
Monthly cash and reserve, first 36 months
| Period | Cash in | Cash out | Cash or shortfall before new funding | Reserve | Extra money needed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | £8.25m | £11.72m | £-0.67m | £4.00m | £4.67m |
| 2026-08 | £4.71m | £10.60m | £-6.56m | £4.00m | £10.56m |
| 2026-09 | £8.25m | £10.17m | £-8.48m | £4.00m | £12.48m |
| 2026-10 | £11.78m | £9.96m | £-6.66m | £4.00m | £10.66m |
| 2026-11 | £17.68m | £9.96m | £1.06m | £4.00m | £2.94m |
| 2026-12 | £4.71m | £9.85m | £-4.08m | £4.00m | £8.08m |
| 2027-01 | £5.89m | £10.97m | £-9.16m | £4.00m | £13.16m |
| 2027-02 | £16.50m | £9.85m | £-2.51m | £4.00m | £6.51m |
| 2027-03 | £12.96m | £9.85m | £0.60m | £4.00m | £3.40m |
| 2027-04 | £5.89m | £9.96m | £-3.46m | £4.00m | £7.46m |
| 2027-05 | £8.25m | £10.17m | £-5.39m | £4.00m | £9.39m |
| 2027-06 | £12.96m | £10.39m | £-2.82m | £4.00m | £6.82m |
| 2027-07 | £8.51m | £11.39m | £-5.69m | £4.10m | £9.79m |
| 2027-08 | £4.86m | £10.31m | £-11.13m | £4.10m | £15.23m |
| 2027-09 | £8.51m | £9.87m | £-12.49m | £4.10m | £16.59m |
| 2027-10 | £12.16m | £9.65m | £-9.97m | £4.10m | £14.07m |
| 2027-11 | £18.24m | £9.65m | £-1.38m | £4.10m | £5.48m |
| 2027-12 | £4.86m | £9.54m | £-6.05m | £4.10m | £10.15m |
| 2028-01 | £6.08m | £10.62m | £-10.59m | £4.10m | £14.69m |
| 2028-02 | £17.02m | £9.54m | £-3.10m | £4.10m | £7.20m |
| 2028-03 | £13.38m | £9.54m | £0.74m | £4.10m | £3.36m |
| 2028-04 | £6.08m | £9.65m | £-2.82m | £4.10m | £6.92m |
| 2028-05 | £8.51m | £9.87m | £-4.18m | £4.10m | £8.28m |
| 2028-06 | £13.38m | £10.09m | £-0.89m | £4.10m | £4.99m |
| 2028-07 | £8.68m | £10.65m | £-2.86m | £4.20m | £7.06m |
| 2028-08 | £4.96m | £10.33m | £-8.23m | £4.20m | £12.43m |
| 2028-09 | £8.68m | £9.87m | £-9.43m | £4.20m | £13.63m |
| 2028-10 | £12.39m | £9.65m | £-6.68m | £4.20m | £10.89m |
| 2028-11 | £18.59m | £9.65m | £2.26m | £4.20m | £1.94m |
| 2028-12 | £4.96m | £9.54m | £-2.32m | £4.20m | £6.52m |
| 2029-01 | £6.20m | £9.86m | £-5.98m | £4.20m | £10.18m |
| 2029-02 | £17.35m | £9.54m | £1.84m | £4.20m | £2.37m |
| 2029-03 | £13.63m | £9.54m | £5.93m | £4.20m | £0.00m |
| 2029-04 | £6.20m | £9.65m | £2.48m | £4.20m | £1.72m |
| 2029-05 | £8.68m | £9.87m | £1.28m | £4.20m | £2.92m |
| 2029-06 | £13.63m | £10.10m | £4.82m | £4.20m | £0.00m |
YSA four-region proposal
Extra cash needed in the first 3 years, including a safety buffer: £15.81m. This is money the model says is needed, not money a lender has agreed to provide.
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRU support needed per region | £6.70m | £6.92m | £7.15m | £7.38m | £7.61m |
| Yearly support WRU could afford per region | £5.60m | £8.10m | £8.37m | £8.65m | £8.93m |
| Extra yearly funding needed | £4.42m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Funding kept for clubs, SRC and player development | £6.13m | £6.28m | £6.44m | £6.60m | £6.77m |
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income, including extra commercial earnings after costs | £117.84m | £121.60m | £124.44m | £127.35m | £130.33m |
| Cost of running WRU | £67.39m | £60.89m | £62.42m | £63.99m | £65.59m |
| Left after running costs and rugby funding, before interest and tax | £8.71m | £17.91m | £18.15m | £18.39m | £18.63m |
| Interest paid | £3.89m | £3.84m | £3.80m | £3.75m | £3.71m |
| Depreciation | £6.60m | £6.76m | £6.93m | £7.11m | £7.29m |
| Earlier receipts counted as this year’s income | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m |
| WRU’s share of one-off changes | £2.03m | £0.87m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Forecast profit or loss before tax | £-2.31m | £7.93m | £8.91m | £9.02m | £9.14m |
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated cash at the start of the year | £2.81m | £-2.60m | £0.29m | £3.97m | £7.78m |
| Cash left after regular bills and debt payments | £-3.38m | £3.76m | £3.68m | £3.81m | £3.94m |
| Cash gained or used this year | £-5.41m | £2.90m | £3.68m | £3.81m | £3.94m |
| Year-end cash or shortfall, before new funding | £-2.60m | £0.29m | £3.97m | £7.78m | £11.72m |
| Lowest cash figure during the year | £-8.94m | £-11.71m | £-8.63m | £-5.15m | £-1.55m |
| Minimum cash safety buffer | £4.00m | £4.10m | £4.20m | £4.31m | £4.42m |
| Repairing and replacing buildings and equipment | £4.30m | £4.41m | £4.52m | £4.63m | £4.75m |
| Loans due in full that need cash repayment | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Loans assumed to be renewed — not agreed | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £35.70m | £0.00m |
| Closing bank debt | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m | £35.70m |
| Closing lease obligations | £41.00m | £39.70m | £38.40m | £37.10m | £35.80m |
| Closing debentures | £44.60m | £42.50m | £40.40m | £38.30m | £36.20m |
Detailed WRU Group accounts forecast
Consolidated WRU Group including Cardiff, not all four regions or the legal-parent cash pool. A negative signed cash position is an unmet funding requirement, not an authorised overdraft. Book equity and balanced formulas are not proof of solvency.
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income, including extra commercial earnings after costs | 117.00 | 121.34 | 125.18 | 128.11 | 131.12 | 134.19 |
| Operating costs and external allocations | 112.29 | 111.43 | 106.04 | 108.71 | 111.44 | 114.24 |
| Operating contribution | 4.71 | 9.91 | 19.14 | 19.41 | 19.68 | 19.96 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.76 | 6.93 | 7.11 | 7.29 |
| Deferred grant release | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Interest expense | 4.40 | 3.89 | 3.84 | 3.80 | 3.75 | 3.71 |
| Interest received | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Exceptional costs | 0.00 | 2.03 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Loan impairment | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Profit before tax | -4.79 | -1.11 | 9.16 | 10.17 | 10.32 | 10.46 |
| Tax | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.29 | 2.54 | 2.58 | 2.62 |
| Net result | -4.79 | -1.11 | 6.87 | 7.63 | 7.74 | 7.85 |
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starting cash or unfunded shortfall | 3.90 | 3.81 | -0.80 | 2.61 | 6.81 | 11.15 |
| Operating cash flow | 3.71 | 7.38 | 15.47 | 16.34 | 16.56 | 16.79 |
| Investing cash flow | 4.15 | -4.45 | -4.56 | -4.68 | -4.79 | -4.91 |
| Financing cash flow | -7.95 | -7.54 | -7.50 | -7.46 | -7.42 | -7.32 |
| Net movement | -0.09 | -4.61 | 3.41 | 4.20 | 4.35 | 4.56 |
| Ending cash or unfunded shortfall | 3.81 | -0.80 | 2.61 | 6.81 | 11.15 | 15.71 |
| Measure | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangible assets | 146.35 | 144.50 | 142.60 | 140.66 | 138.67 | 136.63 |
| Intangible assets | 10.10 | 9.80 | 9.49 | 9.18 | 8.85 | 8.52 |
| Investments | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Stocks | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Debtors after one year | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 | 19.80 |
| Other debtors within one year | 21.90 | 22.40 | 22.91 | 23.44 | 23.98 | 24.53 |
| CVC derivative receivable | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Signed cash requirement — not a negative cash asset | 3.81 | -0.80 | 2.61 | 6.81 | 11.15 | 15.71 |
| Extra cash still to be found | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross bank principal | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 | 35.70 |
| Accrued bank interest | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Unamortised bank-fee deduction | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Finance leases | 42.30 | 41.00 | 39.70 | 38.40 | 37.10 | 35.80 |
| Debentures | 46.70 | 44.60 | 42.50 | 40.40 | 38.30 | 36.20 |
| Allocated Cardiff external legacy liability | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Other non-financing creditors | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 | 35.30 |
| Deferred capital grants | 19.40 | 17.90 | 16.40 | 14.90 | 13.40 | 11.90 |
| Total liabilities | 180.65 | 175.50 | 170.34 | 165.18 | 160.01 | 154.90 |
| Aggregate group equity | 22.81 | 21.70 | 28.57 | 36.20 | 43.94 | 51.79 |
| Accounting identity difference | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
Why Group and central cash differ
Group cash includes subsidiary resources not established as distributable. This arithmetic bridge does not establish cash-pooling or minority distribution rights. Values are GBP m.
| Year | Estimated WRU cash or shortfall | WRU Group cash or shortfall | Cumulative difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — |
| 2027 | -2.60 | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| 2028 | 0.29 | 2.61 | 2.31 |
| 2029 | 3.97 | 6.81 | 2.84 |
| 2030 | 7.78 | 11.15 | 3.38 |
| 2031 | 11.72 | 15.71 | 3.99 |
New money still to be found — illustration only
Not approved, not committed and not added to the unfinanced core. This is a hypothetical non-debt cash/equity entry to meet a year-end floor, not the separate monthly reserve requirement.
| Year | New money assumed, not agreed | Total new money assumed so far |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2030 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2031 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
Accounting checks and remaining constraints
Do the accounts add up?: pass
- Executed refinancing draw, fees, maturity, covenant and cash-pooling terms; no reliance on undrawn facility ceilings.
- Monthly actual FY2026 group/parent/subsidiary cash, restricted receipts, receivables, creditors, tax and grant returns.
- A current asset register and full-year Cardiff goodwill amortisation; no asset sale proceeds or impairment savings invented.
- Cardiff external liability counterparty allocation and settlement versus intra-group loans already eliminated.
- Parent/minority equity attribution and distributions; legal-parent solvency cannot be inferred from aggregate Group book equity.
- Unfunded signed cash is an informational requirement, not a lawful negative cash asset or authorised overdraft.
- FY25_OPENING · audited_reported_rounded
Named reported asset lines and total creditors; £36.8m non-financing creditor residual is derived from audited totals, not forward plug.
- BANK_CARRYING · audited_opening_estimated_settlement
£35.7m principal +£0.5m accrued interest −£0.6m fees =£35.6m carrying debt. Default FY26 settlement/write-off is explicit; new fees and accrued movements require ledger.
- CARDIFF_LEGACY · policy_allocation_not_reported
£1.5m allocated within existing other creditors; capped repayments. Sensitise 0/1.5/3m; exclude internal loans.
- FY26_CARDIFF · derived_conditional
The rebuild cash-deficit assumption is decomposed into operating result, capex, principal, interest and working capital. It is not added as a second expense.
- ASSET_REGISTER · estimate
D&A follows main-engine Group proxy, with explicit split and carrying-value caps. Full-year goodwill amortisation, impairment, capex asset lives and renewal adequacy remain open.
- CASH_CONVERSION · policy_assumption
Working capital assigned to ordinary receivables and/or creditors; unchanged opening stocks and long-term debtors are explicit flat assumptions, not proof of recoverability.
- TAX_NCI · estimate_and_disclosure_gap
Same-period tax proxy uses Group profit, not central profit. NCI ownership attribution, tax entities, losses, VAT, deferred tax and distribution rights unresolved; aggregate equity is not parent-distributable reserves.
- UNSPECIFIED_ADJUSTMENTS · explicit_zero_scenario_not_evidenced_absence
Unspecified interest income, new grants, new refinancing fees, minority dividends, external regional loan receipts/conversions/impairments default to zero; sensitivity overrides identify their separate entries.
- CAPITAL_ILLUSTRATION · unsecured_requirement_not_funding
Hypothetical cash/equity entries are outside the unfinanced core. They are not approved finance, a financing commitment, or a solvency conclusion.
Monthly cash and reserve, first 36 months
| Period | Cash in | Cash out | Cash or shortfall before new funding | Reserve | Extra money needed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | £8.25m | £11.62m | £-0.56m | £4.00m | £4.56m |
| 2026-08 | £4.71m | £10.60m | £-6.45m | £4.00m | £10.45m |
| 2026-09 | £8.25m | £10.17m | £-8.37m | £4.00m | £12.37m |
| 2026-10 | £11.78m | £9.96m | £-6.55m | £4.00m | £10.55m |
| 2026-11 | £17.68m | £9.96m | £1.17m | £4.00m | £2.83m |
| 2026-12 | £4.71m | £9.85m | £-3.97m | £4.00m | £7.97m |
| 2027-01 | £5.89m | £10.86m | £-8.94m | £4.00m | £12.94m |
| 2027-02 | £16.50m | £9.85m | £-2.29m | £4.00m | £6.29m |
| 2027-03 | £12.96m | £9.85m | £0.82m | £4.00m | £3.18m |
| 2027-04 | £5.89m | £9.96m | £-3.25m | £4.00m | £7.25m |
| 2027-05 | £8.25m | £10.17m | £-5.17m | £4.00m | £9.17m |
| 2027-06 | £12.96m | £10.39m | £-2.60m | £4.00m | £6.60m |
| 2027-07 | £8.51m | £10.77m | £-4.86m | £4.10m | £8.96m |
| 2027-08 | £4.86m | £10.33m | £-10.33m | £4.10m | £14.43m |
| 2027-09 | £8.51m | £9.89m | £-11.71m | £4.10m | £15.81m |
| 2027-10 | £12.16m | £9.67m | £-9.22m | £4.10m | £13.32m |
| 2027-11 | £18.24m | £9.67m | £-0.65m | £4.10m | £4.75m |
| 2027-12 | £4.86m | £9.56m | £-5.35m | £4.10m | £9.45m |
| 2028-01 | £6.08m | £10.00m | £-9.27m | £4.10m | £13.37m |
| 2028-02 | £17.02m | £9.56m | £-1.81m | £4.10m | £5.91m |
| 2028-03 | £13.38m | £9.56m | £2.01m | £4.10m | £2.09m |
| 2028-04 | £6.08m | £9.67m | £-1.59m | £4.10m | £5.69m |
| 2028-05 | £8.51m | £9.89m | £-2.97m | £4.10m | £7.07m |
| 2028-06 | £13.38m | £10.11m | £0.29m | £4.10m | £3.81m |
| 2028-07 | £8.71m | £10.59m | £-1.59m | £4.20m | £5.79m |
| 2028-08 | £4.98m | £10.59m | £-7.20m | £4.20m | £11.40m |
| 2028-09 | £8.71m | £10.14m | £-8.63m | £4.20m | £12.83m |
| 2028-10 | £12.44m | £9.91m | £-6.10m | £4.20m | £10.30m |
| 2028-11 | £18.67m | £9.91m | £2.66m | £4.20m | £1.55m |
| 2028-12 | £4.98m | £9.80m | £-2.17m | £4.20m | £6.37m |
| 2029-01 | £6.22m | £9.80m | £-5.74m | £4.20m | £9.95m |
| 2029-02 | £17.42m | £9.80m | £1.88m | £4.20m | £2.32m |
| 2029-03 | £13.69m | £9.80m | £5.77m | £4.20m | £0.00m |
| 2029-04 | £6.22m | £9.91m | £2.08m | £4.20m | £2.13m |
| 2029-05 | £8.71m | £10.14m | £0.65m | £4.20m | £3.56m |
| 2029-06 | £13.69m | £10.36m | £3.97m | £4.20m | £0.23m |
A full forward statutory balance sheet is not yet certified. The cash-pool proxy does not establish parent/group solvency; regional opening reserves and contingent liabilities require separate funding evidence.
Staff, services and regional budgets
These are proposed jobs and pay bands for the work needed. They are not a claim that particular staff are overpaid, or a list of jobs to cut. Moving staff to a region does not save cash unless a separate cost actually ends.
Match and rights delivery · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £10.70m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce
- Broad audited direct-cost perimeter is not disclosed. Mapping to these match/rights services is an explicit unverified design assumption, not a reconstructed historic breakdown.
- Six home internationals, 12 large event days and 600,000 ticket transactions are linked planning volumes, not verified FY2027 bookings.
- Opponent guarantees and rights charges require contractual reconciliation: retain obligations until novated; do not claim revenue-growth savings on undisclosed commercial contracts.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match delivery manager D-EVENT-MANAGER | 1 (1 FTE) | 60,000 | 75,000 | 90,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operational event execution; excludes central commercial director and event sales. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Match and accredited-event coordinators D-EVENT-COORD | 4 (4 FTE) | 33,000 | 40,000 | 47,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Four delivery coordinators covering six senior home matches and third-party event interface. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Box-office and ticket fulfilment staff D-TICKET-OPS | 4 (4 FTE) | 29,000 | 34,000 | 40,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operational fulfilment and event support, not central CRM strategy or software. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Accessibility and supporter liaison coordinators D-ACCESS | 2 (2 FTE) | 34,000 | 40,000 | 48,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Accessibility planning and event casework; preserve reasonable access. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Broadcast and commercial rights delivery coordinators D-RIGHTS | 2 (2 FTE) | 42,000 | 50,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Deliver sold rights and broadcast host obligations, not central partnership sales. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Visiting union or fixture participation guarantees D-GUARANTEES | 3 | 450,000 | 650,000 | 1,000,000 | visiting fixture agreementsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Provisional host payments, not Wales player match fees; actual Nations Championship revenue-sharing contracts may replace these gross payments. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Rights and competition administration charges D-RIGHTS-LEVY | 6 | 60,000 | 100,000 | 160,000 | senior home match settlementsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Only external organiser, rights delivery or sanction charges; not regional competition pass-through, CVC revenue share or bank fees. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Host technical and broadcast provision D-TV | 6 | 75,000 | 110,000 | 170,000 | senior home match daysFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Temporary connectivity, OB interface, TV lighting and production hired services; excludes permanent stadium M&E. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Match presentation and field-of-play production D-SHOW | 6 | 45,000 | 65,000 | 100,000 | senior home match daysFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP PA/AV creative execution, temporary presentation crews and opening activity; excludes central creative retainer and stadium security. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| International match official travel and administration D-REF | 6 | 12,000 | 18,000 | 28,000 | senior home match daysFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Match officials' event travel/services; not community referee development or national team player travel. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Casual accreditation and box office D-ACCR | 7200 | 17 | 21 | 26 | supplier-paid staff hoursFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP All-in temporary labour rate; no further employer NI; quantity = 12 major event days * 60 people * 10 hours. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Ticket fulfilment transaction service D-TICKET-SERVICE | 600000 | 0.45 | 0.7 | 1.1 | chargeable ticket transactionsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Ticket service fulfilment, not payment acquisition fees or central CRM license; volume includes events. Replace if contract fee netted from income. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Match and event payment processing D-PAYMENT | 30000000 | 0.008 | 0.01 | 0.014 | GBP eligible card receiptsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Merchant acquiring on eligible ticket receipts; exclude hotel/hospitality card turnover and Note16 general bank charges. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Club ticket contribution D-CLUB-TICKET | 165000 | 2 | 2 | 2 | qualifying paid ticket selectionsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Planning 330,000 national home tickets * 50% club selections; £2 programme announcement. Separate from direct community affiliation grants. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Contracted sponsor event activation D-RIGHTS-SERVICE | 12 | 25,000 | 40,000 | 65,000 | partner activation packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Delivery-specific temporary set-up and fulfilment; excludes central creative/marketing staff, hospitality food, and in-kind kit cost. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Fixture cancellation and event liability cover D-MATCH-INSURANCE | 6 | 60,000 | 100,000 | 160,000 | international fixture cover unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Event risk only; no duplicate corporate, player or stadium property policy. Quote needed; coverage may exclude cancellation causes. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Roof attraction and stadium tour operator service D-ROOF-TOURS | 25000 | 10 | 15 | 23 | visitor service unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Gross-service costing only if associated gross tour income retained. Do not add to net Zip World commission model. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design WRU Annual Report 2025, post-balance-sheet operator agreements · p116 |
| Tour and visitor consumables/access maintenance D-TOUR-KIT | 25000 | 1 | 2 | 3 | visitor unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Consumables separate from operator staffing and annual stadium structural inspection. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £0.65m | £6.41m | £0.00m | £7.07m |
Stadium safe operation and maintenance · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £8.00m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce
- 29 proposed permanent site FTE versus audited average 34 group stadia employees: neither difference proves five exits nor gives a like-for-like historic FTE bridge.
- Contracted steward hours are a provisional safe-event footprint, not a substitute for venue safety certification.
- Maintenance capex, financing, leases, depreciation and hotel/catering specific plant costs excluded; office occupancy on shared stadium meter should not also enter central supplier option.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stadium operational director S-DIRECTOR | 1 (1 FTE) | 85,000 | 105,000 | 130,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Site delivery executive; excludes central facilities contract manager. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Engineering and building services leads S-ME-LEAD | 2 (2 FTE) | 52,000 | 65,000 | 80,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Electrical and mechanical technical leadership. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Multi-skilled maintenance engineers S-TECH | 6 (6 FTE) | 37,000 | 45,000 | 54,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Planned/reactive small repairs; excludes capital renewal and contractor specialist works. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Groundstaff and pitch manager S-GROUND | 5 (5 FTE) | 31,000 | 38,000 | 48,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Pitch and training field work within stadium footprint only. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Safety, fire and event operations leads S-SAFETY | 3 (3 FTE) | 45,000 | 55,000 | 68,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Safety certification and incident planning; excludes central governance. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Permanent site security/control team S-SECURITY | 7 (7 FTE) | 28,000 | 33,000 | 39,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) 24/7 minimum one-post coverage and relief; event supplemental posts costed separately. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Permanent cleaning and logistics S-CLEAN | 5 (5 FTE) | 26,000 | 30,000 | 35,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Non-event public/common areas; excludes hotel and kitchen cleaning. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Stadium electricity S-ELEC | 3500000 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.29 | kWhFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Includes operational office/common-area supply on stadium meter; hotel kitchen separately submetered consumption must be excluded. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Stadium gas/heat supply S-HEAT | 5000000 | 0.045 | 0.065 | 0.095 | kWhFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Space/water heating outside hotel; supplier rate assumed, no energy tariff quote. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Water and drainage S-WATER | 65000 | 3.5 | 5 | 7 | cubic metres equivalentFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Metered water plus wastewater allocation; excludes separately hotel/kitchen supplies. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Stadium rates and property insurance packages S-RATES | 1 | 650,000 | 900,000 | 1,250,000 | site-yearFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Annual non-financing occupancy rates/insurance; not a business-rate valuation or debt/lease payment. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Roof, life-safety and lift specialist maintenance S-SPECIAL-ME | 12 | 18,000 | 25,000 | 38,000 | monthly specialist service packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Inspections and planned repair labour/materials beyond permanent engineers; no replacement capex. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Pitch consumables and event surface conversion S-PITCH | 12 | 18,000 | 28,000 | 42,000 | conversion/major treatment cyclesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Turf materials, protection-system handling and contracted extra labour; excludes permanent groundstaff. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Event steward and search/security shifts S-STEWARDS | 156000 | 16 | 20 | 25 | all-in supplier hoursFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 12 large events * 1,300 deployed posts * 10 hours; independent safety-certified staffing is prerequisite. No automatic cut based on empty seats. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Post-event clean and waste removal S-CASUAL-CLEAN | 24 | 12,000 | 17,000 | 25,000 | event turnaroundsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 12 large plus 12 smaller delivery days; no hotel/hospitality dishwashing. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Crowd medical/ambulance cover S-MEDICAL | 12 | 10,000 | 15,000 | 23,000 | major eventsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Spectator provision, separate from professional player clinical teams. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Venue operational safety certification S-LICENCES | 1 | 65,000 | 90,000 | 130,000 | annual packageFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Structural, fire, electrical and public-safety assurance not generic central audit. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Roof/seating/concourse minor repair work orders S-SMALL-REPAIRS | 100 | 1,800 | 2,800 | 4,500 | repair work ordersFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Routine operating repairs; any enhancement or major renewal must instead enter capital schedule. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £1.47m | £7.00m | £0.01m | £8.47m |
Stadium catering and hospitality gross-service requirement · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £6.90m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: external operator cost equivalent
- All nine role equivalents are inside an outsourced-service cost, not a proposed WRU payroll transfer.
- Keep full gross service obligations where matching hospitality/food revenue is consolidated. If actual Aramark contract is concession/revenue share, replace BOTH revenue and cost; never retain £17.7m gross FY2025 revenue with only this fee.
- The operator fee is an explicit model price, not an estimate claimed from the announced multi-million-pound deal. Contract continuity assumed; no unilateral cancellation.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catering operator general manager H-OP-LEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 65,000 | 80,000 | 100,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operator-employed cost equivalent, not a new WRU management post. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Kitchen/food safety/hospitality operations managers H-OP-MGMT | 4 (4 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 62,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operator permanent delivery workforce, outside central sales roles. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hospitality service and purchasing coordinators H-OP-COORD | 4 (4 FTE) | 30,000 | 36,000 | 44,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operator's operational ordering/scheduling, not group strategic procurement. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Premium hospitality food and drink inputs H-PREMIUM-FOOD | 50000 | 25 | 34 | 45 | served coversFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP No admission ticket or room revenue included in cost; not hospitality selling price. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Concourse food/drink cost of sales H-CONCOURSE-FOOD | 660000 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.2 | purchased itemsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 12 major event days * 55,000 item purchases; no gross food sales generated automatically. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Variable chefs/bar/service/kitchen porter labour H-SERVICE-LABOUR | 62000 | 16 | 20 | 25 | all-in outsourced hoursFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Includes holiday/NI/agency margin; no extra loading. Excludes nine permanent operator role equivalents. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Linen, tableware rental and consumables H-SERVICE-STOCK | 50000 | 3 | 4 | 6 | premium coversFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Dedicated food-service consumption, not stadium post-event refuse contract. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Dedicated kitchen utilities H-KITCHEN-UTIL | 12 | 10,000 | 15,000 | 22,000 | monthsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Submetered supply removed from stadium common area utility input. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Food equipment service/cleaning H-KITCHEN-SERVICE | 12 | 10,000 | 14,000 | 22,000 | monthsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Kitchen deep cleaning, grease waste and routine appliance repair, not capital equipment. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hospitality payment acquisition H-MERCHANT | 10000000 | 0.008 | 0.01 | 0.014 | GBP eligible card receiptsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Not ticket or hotel payment turnover; actual eligible cash/card split needed. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Operator management and commercial return H-OPERATOR-FEE | 1 | 350,000 | 550,000 | 850,000 | annual outsourced operator service feeFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Fee is ADDITIONAL to specified labour and input reimbursements only in cost-plus option. NOT the actual disclosed Aramark fee. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Non-match dining/event incremental staff and materials H-NONMATCH | 120 | 1,400 | 2,200 | 3,500 | non-match bookingsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Incremental staff/food not counted in 50,000 major-event covers or permanent roles. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £0.50m | £5.99m | £0.00m | £6.49m |
170-room hotel full gross-service requirement · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £9.20m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: external operator cost equivalent
- 99 operator FTE-equivalent service establishment is a policy estimate, not WRU employee disclosure or a redundancy recommendation.
- 170-room capacity is evidenced; occupancy, prices, consumption and staffing are assumptions. Base room capacity: 62,050 available nights; 43,435 occupied nights.
- Full-cost consolidated hotel service, not 75% of cost. Minority distributions, contract control, financing, renewal and actual unrestricted cash are separately modelled.
- £13m FY2025 gross revenue and £9.2m cost do not prove net cash contribution: note narrative separately reports £2.8m EBITDA, showing that the category difference alone is not a hotel segment EBITDA measure.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hotel general manager T-GM | 1 (1 FTE) | 85,000 | 105,000 | 130,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Operator-employed cost equivalent; not additional WRU director. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel operational department heads T-DEPT | 5 (5 FTE) | 42,000 | 52,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Rooms, food/beverage, kitchen, spa and maintenance. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Front office/night audit/guest services T-FRONT | 15 (15 FTE) | 27,000 | 31,000 | 37,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) 24/7 front desk, night service and leave cover; excludes central finance. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Housekeeping and public-area attendants T-ROOM | 27 (27 FTE) | 26,000 | 29,000 | 34,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Permanent room cleaning workforce at 70% occupancy; workload ratio must be operationally tested. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Kitchen, restaurant and bars T-KITCHEN | 35 (35 FTE) | 27,000 | 32,000 | 40,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Food preparation, restaurant/bar service and porter coverage. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Spa therapists and reception T-SPA | 8 (8 FTE) | 27,000 | 32,000 | 40,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Rooftop spa operating service. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel maintenance technicians T-ENGINEER | 3 (3 FTE) | 34,000 | 42,000 | 50,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Hotel footprint only; no stadium engineer duplicate. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Reservations, local purchasing and event fulfilment T-BOOKINGS | 5 (5 FTE) | 29,000 | 35,000 | 43,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Hotel-specific delivery; no central WRU sales/CRM. external operator cost equivalent policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Room amenities and outsourced linen T-ROOM-CONS | 43435 | 6 | 8 | 11 | occupied room nightsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 170 rooms *365 days *70% assumed occupancy. Cleaning labour already in role rows. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Restaurant/bar/banqueting food and drink inputs T-FOOD | 140000 | 7 | 9 | 12 | meal/drink basket unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Breakfast, external restaurant, event and bar units; quantity needs EPOS validation. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Spa consumables T-SPA-CONS | 12000 | 4 | 6 | 9 | spa treatment/session unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Not additional therapist staffing. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel electricity/heat/water T-ENERGY | 12 | 35,000 | 50,000 | 70,000 | monthsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Dedicated meter/operator charge only; remove from stadium supply volumes. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel rates and property insurance T-RATES-INS | 1 | 450,000 | 650,000 | 900,000 | property-yearFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP No loan/finance lease interest/principal or depreciation. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Third-party booking distribution commissions T-OTA | 15000 | 20 | 30 | 42 | intermediated room nightsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Subset of 43,435 occupied nights, £30 assumed fee not a verified channel contract. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel payment acquisition T-PAYMENTS | 10500000 | 0.008 | 0.01 | 0.014 | GBP eligible card receiptsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Hotel only, not direct/hospitality payment duplication. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Hotel specialist lift/fire/HVAC routine service T-SERVICE | 12 | 12,000 | 18,000 | 26,000 | monthly service packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Specialist inspections/material beyond employed general maintenance; capital renewal elsewhere. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Property booking/EPOS/spa operational systems T-IT | 12 | 8,000 | 12,000 | 18,000 | monthly license/service packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Hotel systems not corporate CRM or generic 720-seat office licenses. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Collection-style operator service return T-OPERATOR | 1 | 300,000 | 450,000 | 700,000 | annual operator management feeFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Model fee added to cost-plus labour/input reimbursement; never claim it is the actual operator fee. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Peak event and absence-cover temporary labour T-PEAK | 10000 | 16 | 20 | 25 | all-in supplier hoursFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Peak above permanent workforce; no additional NI loading. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Spa/restaurant linen and pest/waste service T-LAUNDRY-SERVICE | 12 | 8,000 | 12,000 | 18,000 | monthly service packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Excludes room linen already costed per occupied night. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £3.87m | £4.64m | £0.02m | £8.53m |
National teams and performance pathways · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £17.80m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce
- Base national women and age-grade service design; excludes separate optional £0.4m additional women's upgrade. If that upgrade purchases any services above, replace that row instead of adding twice.
- All men's national duty payments are distinct from equal regional grant, competition pass-through and regional senior payroll. Revenue-driven match bonus clauses remain a disclosure gap.
- No guaranteed wins and no clinical/safeguarding reduction; no free NHS treatment or assumed university subsidy.
- Training occupancy must be checked against cash lease/debt schedule; this operating occupancy row is not permission to subtract contractual rent or interest elsewhere.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance service delivery lead P-DELIVERY | 1 (1 FTE) | 95,000 | 120,000 | 150,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Non-board programme service owner; must be omitted/replaced if one of central 60 executive posts is explicitly assigned this workload. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's head coach P-M-HEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 350,000 | 450,000 | 600,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Policy salary band, not current named coach pay. Contract notice/settlement separate. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's assistant coaches P-M-ASSIST | 3 (3 FTE) | 100,000 | 130,000 | 175,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National duty programme only; not regional coaching salaries. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's national-duty physiotherapists P-M-PHYSIO | 2 (2 FTE) | 55,000 | 65,000 | 80,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National camp and match coverage, additional to regional everyday clinical provision. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's national-duty strength/conditioning P-M-SC | 3 (3 FTE) | 50,000 | 65,000 | 80,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Camp workload and leave cover; no regional roster payroll. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's national-duty analysts P-M-ANALYST | 2 (2 FTE) | 42,000 | 55,000 | 70,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) International opponent/team analysis only. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's team operations P-M-OPS | 2 (2 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Tour and camp operational managers, not central event sales. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior men's kit/logistics P-M-KIT | 1 (1 FTE) | 30,000 | 35,000 | 43,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National kit delivery, not regional club kit. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women contracted players P-W-PLAYERS | 37 (37 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Basic annual salary policy; 37-contract cohort anchor is 2024/25, not asserted FY2027 actual. No second full salary for Celtic Challenge duty. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's head coach P-W-HEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 110,000 | 150,000 | 200,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National role policy, not disclosed incumbent pay. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's assistant coaches P-W-COACH | 3 (3 FTE) | 50,000 | 65,000 | 85,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Dedicated training delivery. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's physiotherapists P-W-MED | 2 (2 FTE) | 45,000 | 55,000 | 68,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Protect clinical care and return-to-play independence. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's strength/conditioning P-W-SC | 2 (2 FTE) | 43,000 | 55,000 | 68,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Dedicated year-round programme. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's analyst P-W-ANALYST | 1 (1 FTE) | 38,000 | 47,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National service only. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Senior women's operations/kit coordinator P-W-OPS | 2 (2 FTE) | 32,000 | 40,000 | 50,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Travel, registration, kit and welfare logistics; non-clinical. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U20 head coach P-U20-HEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 80,000 | 105,000 | 140,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National age-grade, not regional academy head. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U20 assistant coaches P-U20-COACH | 2 (2 FTE) | 48,000 | 60,000 | 75,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National age-grade service. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U20 physiotherapists P-U20-PHYSIO | 2 (2 FTE) | 40,000 | 48,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National age-grade camps and fixtures only. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U20 conditioning lead P-U20-SC | 1 (1 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 62,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National camp programme. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U20 analysis and operations P-U20-OPS | 2 (2 FTE) | 36,000 | 43,000 | 54,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) One analysis and one operations FTE. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's U18 coaching and conditioning P-U18 | 4 (4 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National U18 year-round equivalent; not regional academy staff. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's pathway delivery lead P-W-PATH-LEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 65,000 | 80,000 | 100,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Three centre and satellite network lead. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's development centre coaches P-W-PDC | 6 (6 FTE) | 36,000 | 45,000 | 55,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Two per three centres serving nine satellites; protected field delivery, not duplicate national coaches. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's pathway regional clinical coverage P-W-PATH-CLINICAL | 3 (3 FTE) | 40,000 | 48,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) One per centre, national programme not men's regional medical establishment. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's U20 and academy national coaching P-W-U20 | 3 (3 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National development service, separate from senior women coaches. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National talent/scouting and transition specialists P-TALENT | 4 (4 FTE) | 38,000 | 48,000 | 60,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Four catchments, not four additional regional academy leads. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Elite coach development P-COACHDEV | 2 (2 FTE) | 50,000 | 65,000 | 85,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Professional national/age-grade coach education; community coach courses elsewhere. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National programme sports psychology P-PSYCH | 2 (2 FTE) | 45,000 | 60,000 | 80,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Independent national athlete support; clinical escalation kept separate. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National programme nutrition P-NUTRITION | 2 (2 FTE) | 40,000 | 50,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) National camps and women's contracted cohort; region procurement food not included. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Professional/age-grade competitions delivery P-COMPETITION | 2 (2 FTE) | 36,000 | 45,000 | 55,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Registration and fixture delivery for age grade/women/SRC; excludes regional competition distributions and community league administrators. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's national match-duty payments including employer-NIC allowance P-M-FEES | 276 | 5,750 | 6,900 | 9,200 | player match appearancesFormula and source23 * 12 * assumed gross match fee * 1.15; engine must not load again 23 matchday players ×12 fixtures. Unit = assumed £5k/£6k/£8k gross fee ×1.15 conservative NI allowance. No NI threshold relief or national duty fee claimed as actual. OUTSIDE equal regional base. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's non-match squad standby/training payments P-M-CAMPFEES | 144 | 1,150 | 1,725 | 2,875 | paid non-match squad-week unitsFormula and source12 * 12 * assumed gross standby fee * 1.15 12 non-playing/call-up equivalents ×12 weeks; £1k/£1.5k/£2.5k gross ×1.15. Excludes the same player's already paid match week. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's national camp accommodation/food P-M-CAMP | 4200 | 120 | 155 | 210 | person nightsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 60 travellers ×70 nights; national training facility hire separately. No player salary included. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's flights and international transport P-M-TOUR | 300 | 1,400 | 2,100 | 3,200 | return-trip traveller equivalentsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 60 travellers ×5 trip-equivalents; itinerary must replace not simply add airfare bookings. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Men's national land transport and freight P-M-COACH | 12 | 12,000 | 18,000 | 28,000 | match/camp blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Coach, luggage and equipment haulage; not regional URC travel. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's camp/tour accommodation and meals P-W-CAMP | 3000 | 100 | 135 | 180 | person nightsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 50 travellers ×60 nights. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's international travel P-W-FLIGHT | 200 | 900 | 1,400 | 2,200 | return-trip traveller equivalentsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 50 travellers ×4 trips; fixtures and destination mix unverified. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's international duty expense and bonus reserve P-W-DUTY | 230 | 300 | 500 | 800 | player match appearancesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 23×10 fixtures incremental duty payment/expenses; base full-time salary above; assumed all-in cash cost. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National men's/women's U18/U20 trips P-AGE-TRAVEL | 12 | 40,000 | 60,000 | 90,000 | squad tour/event blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Team transport and full board for age-grade squads; does not repay their regional year-round salary. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Age-grade domestic camps P-AGE-CAMP | 24 | 6,000 | 9,000 | 14,000 | team camp blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Temporary venue/board, not permanent training campus rental. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge additional fractional coaches P-CELTIC-COACH | 1.6 (1.6 FTE) | 42,000 | 50,000 | 65,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) 2 teams ×4 coaches ×0.2 annual FTE; hours outside national women's coaching workload. Not four full-time duplicate coaches. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge additional fractional clinical staff P-CELTIC-CLINICAL | 1.2 (1.2 FTE) | 48,000 | 60,000 | 75,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) 2 teams ×2 clinicians ×0.3 annual FTE; protected match/training additional hours. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge additional operations P-CELTIC-OPS | 0.8 (0.8 FTE) | 33,000 | 40,000 | 50,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) 2 teams ×0.4 FTE; additional hours beyond national team manager. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge travel blocks P-CELTIC-TRAVEL | 24 | 2,800 | 4,000 | 6,000 | team match/training travel blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 2 teams ×12 movement blocks; no national tour fare duplication. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge venue blocks P-CELTIC-VENUE | 24 | 1,500 | 2,000 | 3,500 | team hosted event/training blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Hired incremental venue hours; no owned stadium renewal. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge non-central player allowances P-CELTIC-ALLOW | 40 | 2,000 | 3,000 | 4,500 | uncontracted player seasonsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Additional 20 per team not already among 37 central contracts; cost-inclusive policy allowance, employment classification unverified. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge playing kit and consumables P-CELTIC-KIT | 80 | 180 | 250 | 400 | squad member equipment packsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Players/staff across both squads; no free in-kind assumption. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Celtic Challenge competition insurance P-CELTIC-INSURANCE | 2 | 12,000 | 20,000 | 30,000 | teamsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Only incremental competition cover not national duty policy. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's pathway education and travel bursaries P-W-BURSARY | 30 | 5,000 | 8,000 | 12,000 | uncontracted pathway playersFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Support rather than another national senior wage; tax/employment status subject to review. Not men's regional 20-player academy payroll. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women's PDC and satellite venue sessions P-W-PDC-VENUE | 480 | 100 | 150 | 230 | facility sessionsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP 12 locations ×40 sessions; only hired marginal hours, not duplicate full-campus rent. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National training campus operating occupancy P-TRAINING-RENT | 12 | 45,000 | 65,000 | 90,000 | monthsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Pitch/gym/office occupancy and utilities used by national squads; exclude loan/finance-lease debt and major capex. Existing facilities contract disclosure needed. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National doctor consultant cover P-MEDICAL-DOCTOR | 250 | 600 | 800 | 1,100 | clinical service daysFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Senior/age-grade medical oversight and match cover, separate from physiotherapy staff; preserve minimum clinical approval. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National-duty scans/treatment/rehabilitation P-MEDICAL-EXTERNAL | 200 | 1,500 | 2,250 | 3,500 | care episodesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Only incremental injury care while on national programme, not region insured claim paid a second time. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National duty player risk and travel insurance P-PLAYER-INS | 1 | 280,000 | 420,000 | 650,000 | annual national duty insurance portfolioFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Actual contracts/claims exclusions required. Separate region ordinary employment insurance and stadium public liability. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| National performance kit/data/testing P-PERF-TOOLS | 120 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 3,800 | athlete-equivalent service unitsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Specialist testing, GPS/data licensing and sports kit; not regional analyst apps, central corporate software or sponsor kit in kind counted as cash. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Elite integrity/anti-doping training and audit P-INTEGRITY | 12 | 6,000 | 9,000 | 14,000 | delivery/testing blocksFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Programme integrity services, not corporate safeguarding executives or community courses. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| GB Sevens programme support contribution P-SEVENS | 4 | 20,000 | 30,000 | 45,000 | seconded player/staff equivalentsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Gross service contribution with any recharge income separate; FY25 note12 3 players+1 staff context, not four new WRU payroll salaries. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £7.35m | £8.40m | £0.03m | £15.78m |
Member-club, school and participation delivery · proposed cost of the service
Starting point from the 2025 accounts: £6.30m. The proposed service boundary is unverified; this is not a historic line-item reconstruction.
Which staff and employers are included: proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce
- 58 employed FTE plus 100 partner contribution units is a designed delivery network, not an asserted reduction from audited 88 employees. Reconcile hub employer status first: an officer cannot sit on WRU payroll and be funded again through the external hub row.
- Excludes FY2025 direct community/affiliate grants £3.3m, SRC £0.9m and all separately proposed new community/SRC/women upgrades. Existing club operating grant commitments remain outside this £6.3m replacement.
- No member-club consultation has been held. Programme should be tested with clubs on facilities, coaching, referees, volunteer workload, women's changing access, safeguarding and transport before allocation.
- Avoid counting the same base pack/course under optional uplift lines: optional quantity is incremental to these base service volumes.
| Service / role | Number / full-time-equivalent jobs | Low | Base | High | Basis and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Community delivery director C-LEAD | 1 (1 FTE) | 85,000 | 105,000 | 130,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Programme delivery owner, not additional central corporate executive; omit if central role explicitly already covers it. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Area development leads C-AREA | 4 (4 FTE) | 47,000 | 58,000 | 70,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Four catchment service teams; no regional professional club commercial administration. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Local-authority rugby development officers C-LOCAL | 22 (22 FTE) | 33,000 | 40,000 | 49,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) One local coverage FTE per 22 authority areas, coaching and club-school links; policy service ratio not current WRU staff map. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Women/girls and inclusive rugby field officers C-INCLUSION | 8 (8 FTE) | 33,000 | 41,000 | 50,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Two per catchment covering licensed hubs and inclusive formats; separate from national women PDC coaching. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community coach education workforce C-COACH | 6 (6 FTE) | 35,000 | 44,000 | 55,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Courses/tutor coordination; region academy coaches and elite coach development excluded. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Referee development and appointments C-REF | 6 (6 FTE) | 34,000 | 42,000 | 52,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Recruitment, training, mentoring and delivery support; amateur match referee fees reimbursed by clubs excluded. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Field safeguarding and welfare case support C-SAFE | 4 (4 FTE) | 37,000 | 46,000 | 56,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Local delivery and investigation liaison; central safeguarding policy/legal assurance budget separate; do not duplicate same investigator invoice. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community league and cup delivery staff C-COMP | 4 (4 FTE) | 30,000 | 38,000 | 47,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Fixtures, volunteer training and event administration; not central six club-admin support posts. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Club facility support and grant project officers C-FACILITY | 3 (3 FTE) | 35,000 | 44,000 | 54,000 | annual basic salary per FTEFormula and sourcequantity * (unitGBP + 0.15 * max(0, unitGBP - 5000) + 0.05 * unitGBP) Application/safety/project support, not capital grants themselves. proposed WRU direct or delivery workforce policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Matched external school/college/foundation hub support C-HUB-MATCH | 100 | 12,000 | 17,000 | 22,000 | annual partner establishment contributionsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP WRU contribution ONLY to partner-employed delivery. No assumption 100 WRU FTE; partner match funding not added to WRU income. Reconcile employment register against 58 direct delivery FTE above. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Girls hub delivery materials and access C-GIRLS-HUB | 44 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 3,500 | licensed hub service awardsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Base operating materials/entry access, not extra optional women's programme uplift or PDC cost. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community coaching course places C-COACH-COURSE | 1800 | 90 | 130 | 180 | learner placesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Venue, learning materials and external assessment only; employed tutor salary above, no duplicate hourly tutor charge. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Referee learner and mentoring places C-REF-COURSE | 500 | 100 | 150 | 220 | learner placesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Materials, assessor travel and certification; employed development staff above. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Safeguarding and first-aid course access C-SAFE-TRAIN | 2500 | 25 | 40 | 65 | learner placesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Third-party qualification/materials/venue, not ordinary staff safeguarding training in central supplier budget. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Local school and club participation festivals C-FESTIVAL | 100 | 900 | 1,400 | 2,200 | eventsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP External transport, local venue and event first aid. No stadium steward cost already elsewhere. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Road to Principality community finals incremental delivery C-ROAD | 10 | 6,000 | 10,000 | 15,000 | event daysFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Travel assistance, participants/officials and awards only; venue overhead/security/medical separately owned by stadia. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community inclusive equipment packs C-KIT | 250 | 180 | 260 | 380 | packsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Balls, flags, adapted kit and replacements; not optional targeted uplift's 100 additional starter-kit grants. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Field staff travel C-TRAVEL | 600000 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.55 | business milesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP All community delivery employees' local travel; no central corporate travel or club team travel uplift. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community independent welfare counselling C-WELFARE | 600 | 70 | 100 | 140 | clinical sessionsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Qualified external mental-health support; no claim NHS will supply free. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Participation monitoring and independent programme review C-DATA | 4 | 12,000 | 18,000 | 28,000 | quarterly data/review packagesFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Programme outcome evaluation only; MyWRU software/platform license already in central IT excluded. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Community rules, bilingual guides and volunteer packs C-TRAIN-MATERIAL | 300 | 100 | 150 | 220 | club/organisation packsFormula and sourcequantity * unitGBP Rugby operating materials and external printing, not corporate brand translation retainer or a salary saving. policy_assumption FY2027 required operating service unit design |
| Payroll | Suppliers | Levy | Total target |
|---|---|---|---|
| £2.99m | £2.97m | £0.01m | £5.97m |
| Role | Full-time-equivalent jobs | Yearly salary (£), before employer costs |
|---|---|---|
| CEO | 1 | £250,000 |
| Finance, operations and commercial executive leads | 3 | £145,000 |
| Financial controller | 1 | £90,000 |
| Finance business partners | 2 | £60,000 |
| Finance processing/payroll | 3 | £40,000 |
| Treasury | 1 | £75,000 |
| Finance analyst | 1 | £50,000 |
| Company secretary | 1 | £95,000 |
| Governance administrators | 2 | £40,000 |
| People lead | 1 | £85,000 |
| People advisers | 2 | £45,000 |
| Learning | 1 | £40,000 |
| Safeguarding specialists | 2 | £55,000 |
| Executive support | 1 | £40,000 |
| Brand lead | 1 | £75,000 |
| Partnerships | 3 | £55,000 |
| Licensing | 1 | £65,000 |
| Digital | 3 | £45,000 |
| Ticket/CRM service | 3 | £40,000 |
| Event sales | 2 | £55,000 |
| Content | 1 | £40,000 |
| Technology lead | 1 | £90,000 |
| Data specialists | 2 | £65,000 |
| Systems/integration | 2 | £55,000 |
| Cyber | 1 | £70,000 |
| IT support | 2 | £35,000 |
| Shared administration lead | 1 | £75,000 |
| Club service administrators | 6 | £38,000 |
| Programme coordinators | 3 | £45,000 |
| Procurement | 2 | £55,000 |
| Project managers | 2 | £55,000 |
| Risk/control | 1 | £65,000 |
| Facilities contract support | 1 | £55,000 |
| Region | Senior-player pay and employer costs | Cost of running the region | Region’s own income | Competition | Shared services |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | £6.42m | £11.77m | £3.68m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Dragons | £6.42m | £11.67m | £2.73m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Scarlets | £6.42m | £12.06m | £3.33m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Region | Senior-player pay and employer costs | Cost of running the region | Region’s own income | Competition | Shared services |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | £6.42m | £11.77m | £3.68m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Dragons | £6.42m | £11.67m | £2.73m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Ospreys | £6.42m | £11.64m | £3.26m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
| Scarlets | £6.42m | £12.06m | £3.33m | £2.00m | £0.21m |
Moving to three teams: costs, changes and risks
| Measure | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One-off costs, whoever pays | £0.22m | £1.29m | £0.65m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Cost of services that would still be needed | £0.00m | £0.00m | £6.32m | £1.72m | £1.76m |
| Retained player pool — included above | £0.00m | £0.00m | £3.85m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Local income expected to continue | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.81m | £0.83m | £0.86m |
| Competition income expected to continue | £0.00m | £0.00m | £1.50m | £1.50m | £1.50m |
| WRU’s assumed share of the remaining shortfall | £0.00m | £0.00m | £4.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
| Shortfall with no identified payer | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m | £0.00m |
The retained player pool is unabsorbed contractual resource beyond the surviving base squads, not a fourth team. Competition receipts and own income offset its cost. Internal grant reductions are not whole-system savings. Regional and wider economic impact remain separate.
Sources, assumptions and the version you are reading
The charts and tables use the same saved calculation. Matching spreadsheet and PDF downloads are not ready yet. Older downloads do not represent this version.
- WRU Annual Report 2025, notes 4, 8, 9, 12–14, 20, 31, 34
Audited group; Cardiff from 9 April 2025; Dragons disposed FY2024. Accrual and cash separated.
- WRU September 2025 finance commentary
Official unaudited FY2026 £117m turnover and >£41m EBITDA expectations; not actual-to-date cash; Cardiff scope requires reconciliation.
- Welsh Affairs Committee oral evidence, January 2026, Q15 and Q26
Official testimony: £55m core plus £5m capex facilities, roughly 3.5 years and SONIA+2.75%; terms recollected, not executed contracts or draw confirmation.
- HMRC rates and thresholds for employers 2026–2027
UK employer tax rates. Future unchanged-rate treatment is a policy estimate; age and group relief not assumed.
- WRU naming-rights extension to 2030
Contract term announced; fee, renewal protections and rights inventory not disclosed.
- WRU seven-year Macron partnership and community kit
Announced £6m community kit over six years is in-kind, not new cash. Current extension/exclusivity requires contract verification.
- Allianz RFU partnership announcement
RFU stadium and wider rugby partnership; private fee not disclosed here. Not a direct annual-fee comparable.
- Scottish Gas and Scottish Rugby partnership
Five-year bundled naming and rugby rights. £2m club energy fund is restricted multi-year support, not the naming fee.
- WRU grassroots club funding model
Announced club grants; needs cannot be inferred from turnover or per-capita ratios.
- WRU Annual Report 2025, operating cost
Consolidated operating expense inclusive of payroll; broad categories do not reveal supplier or cost-centre boundaries
- WRU Annual Report 2025, employee scope
Average direct employee counts, not FTE; exclusions and recharges apply
- WRU Annual Report 2025, turnover
Consolidated gross turnover by activity, not cash available for rugby
- WRU Annual Report 2025, post-balance-sheet operator agreements
Aramark all food, beverage and hospitality; Zip World roof walk operator. No disclosed fee or minimum guarantee
- WRU Annual Report 2025, separate affiliate allocations
Community affiliates £3.3m and SRC £0.9m are outside £6.3m community operating category
- Principality Stadium appointment of Aramark
Competitive tender and long-term operating service, economics undisclosed
- Parkgate hotel capacity and operator
170 bedrooms and suites, restaurant, bar, spa and up to 432 event guests; not observed occupancy or labour requirement
- WRU review of women's contracts
37 full-time contracts; neither current 2027 contracts nor individual salaries disclosed here
- WRU women's future pathway
National academy 18-23, three player development centres and nine satellites, Celtic Challenge; stated investment not equivalent to actual spending
- WRU Hub Programme
100 partner establishments and match-funded officer programme linked to over 180 clubs; not 100 WRU payroll posts
- WRU girls hub rugby
44 licensed hubs; delivery count anchor, not 2027 award contracts
- WRU Nations Championship 2026 fixtures
July three fixtures, November three Cardiff fixtures and finals round; £2 selected club ticket contribution announcement. FY2027 quantities below are a planning calendar, not the entire verified calendar
- Government employer NIC change
15% secondary NIC over £5,000; no age relief or employment allowance assumed
How the figures were calculated
| Assumption | Starting figure | Low / high | Formula / limitation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual operating-price growth inflation | 0.025 fraction | 0.015 / 0.05 | prior price × (1+inflation) Planning rate, not forecast certainty. policy_assumption |
| FY2026 central turnover bridge fy26_revenue_growth | 0.07582938388625582 fraction | 0.025 / 0.12 | (official group turnover forecast117 − assumed full-year Cardiff own income3.5) / FY25central105.5 −1 Forecast and ownership scope unverified. Does not treat £117m as unrestricted cash. derived_estimate |
| FY2026 comparable central cost bridge fy26_cost_growth | 0.035 fraction | 0.015 / 0.07 | FY25 Note8 excluding Cardiff70.3 ×1.035 Mechanical run-rate estimate, not the misdated £67.8m cost claim. estimate |
| FY2026 regional support bridge fy26_regional_transfer_growth | 0.07 fraction | 0 / 0.1 | FY25 net regional support proxy28.3 ×1.07 28.3 is net support at zero intragroup-interest assumption; not verified all-four cash payments. estimate |
| FY2026 community and SRC distributions fy26_protected_allocations | 4.65 GBP m | 4.2 / 5.2 | community3.6 +10 SRC grants×0.105 Announcement-based annual proxy; central community costs remain separately in Note8. estimate |
| FY2026 interest paid fy26_cash_interest | 4.3 GBP m | 3.5 / 5.5 | FY25 actual cash-interest4.3 held for transition-year estimate Not P&L finance charge7.3. Replace with refinancing ledger. estimate |
| FY2026 capital renewal cash fy26_capex | 4.3 GBP m | 3 / 6 | FY25 £4.3m additions/narrative level retained as renewal policy; reported cash purchases were £4.1m No speculative disposal or new grant offsets it. estimate |
| FY2026 bank principal cash repayment fy26_bank_principal | 0 GBP m | 0 / 3 | Explicit zero scheduled amortisation assumption Refinanced contract unknown; zero is not reported absence of repayment. estimate |
| FY2026 finance lease principal fy26_lease_principal | 1.3 GBP m | 1 / 2 | FY25 lease stock decrease43.6 vs44.9 Stock movement proxy; replace with actual lease payments. estimate |
| FY2026 debenture redemptions fy26_debenture_redemption | 2.1 GBP m | 1 / 4 | FY25 reported debenture balance decrease50.9−48.8 Gross redemption schedule unknown; no new debenture subscription assumed. estimate |
| FY2026 working capital cash use fy26_working_capital_outflow | 1 GBP m | 0 / 4 | Explicit net receivable/deferred ticket balance sensitivity Not an audited cash bridge; collection timing may reverse. estimate |
| Cardiff cash deficit beyond central funding fy26_cardiff_cash_deficit | 1.5 GBP m | 0.5 / 3 | Illustrative full-year subsidiary deficit after its WRU receipts Successor accounts and central elimination needed; not annualised old company loss. estimate |
| Cash unavailable for central distribution unavailable_group_cash | 1 GBP m | 0 / 3 | Group closing cash less this restriction/custody sensitivity Parent FY25cash0.5 vs group3.9; legal pooling and restrictions not verified. estimate |
| Annual national commercial-platform growth national_income_growth | 0.025 fraction | 0 / 0.05 | Central noncompetition revenue ×(1+growth) Not a national-team winning forecast; rugby-cycle and match-calendar exposure stressed. policy_assumption |
| Annual regional own-source revenue growth local_income_growth | 0.025 fraction | 0 / 0.05 | Regional own-source baseline ×(1+growth) Scarlets baseline is accrued revenue, not wholly verified unrestricted cash. policy_assumption |
| Correlated national income shock downside_income_loss | 0.1 fraction | 0.05 / 0.2 | All noncompetition central income ×0.90 Sponsorship and attendance co-move; local revenues independently use low source ranges. policy_assumption |
| Downside additional cost inflation downside_cost_inflation_extra | 0.015 fraction | 0 / 0.03 | Base inflation +1.5 percentage points Player and supplier inflation correlates across both structures. policy_assumption |
| Upside national income level upside_income_growth | 0.05 fraction | 0 / 0.1 | All noncompetition central income ×1.05 Conditional higher trading, not booked income or evidence of secured sponsors. policy_assumption |
| Downside commercial and savings delivery downside_reform_delivery | 0.5 fraction | 0 / 1 | Planned reform net contribution ×0.5 All reform costs and protected services remain payable. policy_assumption |
| Reported parent wages parent_wages_2025 | 12.6 GBP m | 12.6 / 12.6 | Note12 Not all administration; excludes defined termination/capitalisation. audited_reported |
| Reported parent management average people parent_management_people_2025 | 83 people | 83 / 83 | Note12 Not FTE or current establishment. audited_reported |
| Estimated management share of parent wages management_payroll_share | 0.36671575846833576 fraction | 0.2785234899328859 / 0.4031922276197085 | 83×relative-wage-weight1.5 / (83×1.5 +215) Estimated allocation only; other category shares follow same formula. Does not prove pay awards or waste. estimate |
| Payroll difference realised in removed costs management_cashable_fraction | 0.8 fraction | 0 / 1 | Positive comparable payroll difference ×0.8 No named funded posts identified yet. Cashable share is an unapproved opportunity. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Redeployed central roles retained in rugby redeployed_fte | 7 FTE | 0 / 12 | 3finance+1.5HR+1.5IT+1procurement in regional shared-service pool Not a saving. Must map to available existing staff; no inference of redundancies. policy_assumption |
| Redeployed average fully loaded role cost redeployed_loaded_salary | 68142.85714285714 GBP per FTE | 45000 / 75000 | (3×66000+1.5×66000+1.5×72000+1×72000)/7 Explicit regional shared-service staffing design; within £0.8m pool, not additional local salary. policy_assumption |
| WRU-paid regional shared-service pool shared_services_cost | 0.8 GBP m | 0.6 / 1.2 | Seven-role/supplier pool from regional unit design, adjusted for staff redeployment overlap £0.2m attributed to each geographic region; retained fourth pathway allocation if only3senior licences. policy_assumption |
| Central exit cost sensitivity redundancy_exits | 10 people | 0 / 20 | Ten illustrative contract exits Not83people−60FTE. Roster, notice and consultation needed. policy_assumption |
| Central exit salary assumption redundancy_average_salary | 60000 GBP | 45000 / 80000 | Budgeted role salary No named employee or actual entitlement. policy_assumption |
| Central exit settlement envelope redundancy_salary_months | 6 months | 3 / 12 | Exits×salary×months/12 Combined notice/enhancement sensitivity; ensure no overlap with worked notice. estimate |
| Shared systems and implementation cash systems_transition_cost | 0.45 GBP m | 0.2 / 0.8 | 300 supplier days×£1000 +£0.15m migration/security contingency Incremental cash to procure; no AI released-hours saving. policy_assumption |
| Non-administration external procurement base addressable_external_procurement | 20 GBP m | 10 / 25 | Explicit subset of external supplier spend, excluding business/admin services, all wages and grants Supplier register missing; no claim all Note8 spend is addressable. Existing Aramark gains cannot be counted again. estimate |
| Additional cashable procurement reduction procurement_saving_fraction | 0.04 fraction | 0 / 0.06 | Addressable spend×4% Tender opportunity net of unchanged service level, not verified contract savings. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Reform delivery ramp reform_ramp_years | 2 years | 1 / 3 | min(1, year-index/ramp-years) First-year half delivery; execution dates need validation. policy_assumption |
| Extra paid national admissions per year additional_paid_attendances | 15000 admissions | 0 / 30000 | Six matches×2500 incremental paid admissions Must establish unsold inventory and price elasticity; not assumed total attendance. policy_assumption |
| Incremental ticket revenue net of VAT ticket_net_yield | 32 GBP per admission | 20 / 45 | Planning net realised yield Published cheapest tickets are not an average yield; no hospitality seat double count. policy_assumption |
| Incremental admission delivery cost ticket_marginal_cost | 6 GBP per admission | 4 / 12 | Security, ticketing, servicing marginal cash Tender/ledger validation needed; baseline event-fixed costs remain. policy_assumption |
| Non-overlapping new rights packages additional_sponsor_slots | 4 packages | 0 / 6 | Four incremental category/digital/venue inventories Exclusivity and current contract inventory not disclosed. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Incremental annual fee per package sponsor_fee | 0.2 GBP m | 0.1 / 0.4 | Four packages×£0.2m fee Offer-price estimate, not evidence that WRU rejected such bids. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Sponsor activation and servicing cost sponsor_delivery_cost_fraction | 0.2 fraction | 0.1 / 0.35 | New fees×20% Subtract sales/delivery cash; do not add bundled in-kind values as cash. policy_assumption |
| Additional stadium event days additional_event_days | 2 days | 0 / 3 | Incremental calendar slots beyond forecast core Promoter, pitch, noise and turnaround constraints; announced FY26 events already in core. policy_assumption |
| Net contribution per additional event event_contribution_per_day | 0.35 GBP m | 0.1 / 0.6 | Net hire/share after event servicing Not gross tickets or local economic impact. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Additional smaller corporate events additional_corporate_events | 20 events | 0 / 40 | Incremental nonmatch sales outside core and concert events Avoid duplication with Aramark/hotel existing revenue. policy_assumption |
| Net contribution per corporate event corporate_event_contribution | 0.012 GBP m | 0.005 / 0.02 | Net event cash after catering and venue costs Planning unit margin, not quoted contract. opportunity_hypothesis |
| Earliest licensed-sales upside included kit_new_rights_first_year | 2032 financial year | 2028 / 2032 | Outside base planning horizon pending contract inventory No second royalty on existing Macron sales. Existing community kit is not new cash. policy_assumption |
| Eligible additional licensed retail sales incremental_licensed_sales | 6 GBP m | 0 / 10 | Incremental nonteam-shirt retail volume×netprice Not total WRU existing merchandise turnover; speculative until rights and sales volumes verified. policy_assumption |
| Licensing royalty kit_royalty_rate | 0.08 fraction | 0.04 / 0.12 | Eligible incremental licensed sales×royalty Negotiation assumption, not supplier contract. policy_assumption |
| Lower-league kit support funded from new royalty kit_club_discount_fund | 0.2 GBP m | 0 / 0.4 | 100clubs×£2000 incremental voucher ceiling Only if new royalty activated; existing in-kind scheme not counted again. policy_assumption |
| Earliest naming-rights upside included naming_new_rights_first_year | 2031 financial year | 2031 / 2032 | After announced2030term, full-year timing must be checked Cannot rewrite a locked2027deal as cash available now. policy_assumption |
| Incremental naming contribution in base naming_incremental_net_contribution | 0 GBP m | 0 / 2 | Zero until current fee, entitlements and renewal bids verified Higher potential tested separately. Other stadium packages not directly comparable. policy_assumption |
| Existing direct club allocation trajectory community_direct_2027 | 3.8 GBP m | 3.6 / 4.4 | Announced£3.6mFY26 +£0.2m interpolated annualstep Explicit interpolation toward2030£4.4m, not auditedFY27budget. estimate |
| Core SRC allocations src_core_2027 | 1.05 GBP m | 0.9 / 1.1 | Ten clubs×£105000 annuallicence funding Announced unit basis differs from auditedFY25£0.9m expense; tenclubsneeds2027confirmation. policy_assumption |
| Targeted extra women and girls pathway capacity women_pathway_increment | 0.4 GBP m | 0 / 0.8 | Eight additional delivery/clinical FTE-equivalent packages×£50000 loaded Incremental service hypothesis; existing performance/community roles stay funded. policy_assumption |
| Annual legacy regional debt service allowance regional_legacy_debt_service | 0.25 GBP m per region | 0 / 0.8 | Separate annual cash stress allowance per region External non-WRU creditor cash only. Intragroup WRU receipts must be eliminated, not duplicated. Actual regional debt differs sharply; allowance is outside the equal base, not a verified schedule. policy_assumption |
| Conservative levy on regional gross pay apprenticeship_levy_rate | 0.005 fraction | 0.005 / 0.005 | Gross wages+bonus×0.5% No group/employer allowance assumed; allocate centrally onlyonce. estimate |
| SONIA planning reference sonia_planning_rate | 0.04 fraction | 0.025 / 0.06 | Explicit planning rate; not today fixing No interest hedge assumed. estimate |
| Testimony-based bank margin bank_margin | 0.0275 fraction | 0.0275 / 0.0275 | SONIA+2.75 percentagepoints Witness recollection; signed pricing/fees/covenants required. official_unaudited |
| Downside extra borrowing rate downside_interest_extra | 0.02 fraction | 0.01 / 0.04 | Add two percentagepoints Refinancing may also requirefees/security, notjustrate. policy_assumption |
| Finance lease implied cash rate lease_cash_interest_rate | 0.035 fraction | 0.025 / 0.06 | Opening lease principal×3.5% Estimated lease financing cost; operating lease costs remaininNote8. estimate |
| Scheduled annual bank amortisation annual_bank_principal | 0 GBP m | 0 / 3 | Bullet facility assumption before maturity Actual amortisation unknown; maturity balloon separately required. estimate |
| Refinancing maturity sensitivity bank_maturity_year | 2030 financial year | 2029 / 2030 | January2026+approximately3.5years Approximately July2029 falls inFY2030. Exact date unknown; earlierFY2029 stress separately available. estimate |
| Fraction of maturity debt refinanced bank_refinanced_fraction | 0 fraction | 0 / 1 | Uncommitted refinancing=0 in base;1 inseparateconditionaltest A facility limit is not a new draw. Replacement finance needs approvalandcashdraw/repayment. policy_assumption |
| Annual finance lease repayment annual_lease_principal | 1.3 GBP m | 1 / 2 | FY25stockmovementproxy Executed lease amortisation required. estimate |
| Annual debenture repayments annual_debenture_redemption | 2.1 GBP m | 1 / 4 | FY25stockmovementproxy No assumedrenewalproceeds; repaymentcalendarcouldbeuneven. estimate |
| Central stadium/property renewal annual_group_maintenance_capex | 4.3 GBP m | 3 / 6 | HoldFY25£4.3m additions/narrative as policy and reprice; FY25cash purchases£4.1m Containsno speculativefacilitysale. Regional£0.15meachseparate. estimate |
| Annual central working capital use annual_working_capital_outflow | 0.5 GBP m | 0 / 2 | Separate cashconversionbuffer Need monthly receivables, grantsrestrictions andadvance-ticketledger. policy_assumption |
| Annual depreciation/amortisation proxy annual_depreciation | 6.6 GBP m | 5.5 / 8 | FY25D&A6.3+0.3 Shadow capital-preservation charge, not central statutory PBT: group figure includes£0.3m Cardiff goodwill amortisation. Asset-register allocation required. estimate |
| Deferred grant amortisation annual_deferred_income_release | 1.5 GBP m | 1 / 1.5 | FY25noncashincomeheldconstant AddedinP&Lonly, notspendablecash; grantbalancesmustlast. estimate |
| Positive-profit tax cash sensitivity tax_cash_rate | 0.25 fraction | 0 / 0.25 | PositiveproformaPBT×25% Conservativegroupapproximation; entitytaxlosses/relief/VATnotreconstructed. Notataxreturn. policy_assumption |
| Central minimum available cash policy minimum_central_cash_reserve | 4 GBP m | 2 / 6 | £4mFY27floorindexedwithcostinflation Policyfloor, notlendercovenant; separatetwo-monthreserve sensitivityrecommended. policy_assumption |
| Debt-service coverage policy shadow_minimum_dscr | 1.2 ratio | 1 / 1.5 | Operatingcashbeforefinancing / cashinterestandscheduledprincipal Illustrativeinternalguardrail; cannotcertifyactualcovenants. policy_assumption |